May 20 - COVID-19 in Westchester County, NY

I had a nice break from my blogging.  Nothing unpredicted occurred since I shared my plots 10 days-ago.  The number of cases continue to decline in a linear fashion.  Italy has started to reopen.  They continue to amend their case count, which is a bit silly as everyone knows that cases are underreported due to the large number of asymptomatic cases.  The blips in the Bergamo, Italy data are due to those amendments, not to a rebound since they started to 'reopen.'  The Wall Street Journal contained an interesting article about Bergamo's travails.

The New York City metro area appears to be leveling out at about 5-10% testing positive.  The hospitals can handle that slow rate of infection.  In other words, the Spread has Slowed.  Now let's move on!

Deaths in Westchester are now consistently in the single digits.  Unfortunately there is a NYS requirement of a 14-day period of daily declines in deaths prior to starting to reopen. The statistical noise at 5-10 deaths per day will not let this happen.  Our governor failed statistics 101.